What happens when 2.1 million graduate students lose access to the federal loans that fund their education? This report quantifies the answer using actual tuition data from 1,861 American universities.
According to The 2026 Graduate Education Funding Crisis: A Data Report, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act eliminates the Grad PLUS loan program effective July 1, 2026, replacing it with hard annual caps of $50,000 for professional students and $20,500 for all other graduate programs. Analysis of 7,333 programs at 1,861 universities finds 95.2% exceed the new caps, producing an aid-adjusted annual funding shortfall of $51.8 billion. The private student loan market, at roughly $14 billion per year, cannot absorb the $11–13 billion in displaced federal lending.
On July 4, 2025, President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law. Title VIII, Section 81001 eliminates the Grad PLUS loan program for all new borrowers effective July 1, 2026, replacing it with hard annual caps: $50,000 for students pursuing federally designated professional degrees, $20,500 for all other graduate programs.
This report quantifies what that change means using actual tuition and cost-of-attendance data scraped from the websites of 1,861 American universities for the 2025–2026 academic year. Three findings define the scale:
95.2% of degree programs exceed the new caps. Only 350 out of 7,333 program-institution combinations would be fully covered by federal loans alone.
The aggregate annual funding shortfall is approximately $51.8 billion after accounting for average grants and scholarships reported in federal survey data (NPSAS:20). At sticker price, the shortfall amounts to $59.9 billion.
The private lending market cannot close the gap. The entire U.S. private student loan market currently originates roughly $14 billion per year across all borrower types — comparable to the $15 billion in Grad PLUS lending being eliminated.
40 pages · 8,100 words · 24 data tables · Complete methodology appendix
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The Gap Funding Group. (2026). The 2026 graduate education funding crisis: A data report. The Gap Funding Group LLC. https://thefundinggap.org/report