Data Report · February 2026

The 2026 Graduate Education Funding Crisis

What happens when 2.1 million graduate students lose access to the federal loans that fund their education? This report quantifies the answer using actual tuition data from 1,861 American universities.

Dataset: 1,861 universities · 7,333 programs · 28 degree typesPublished: February 2026Read time: ~35 minutes
95.2%
of programs exceed caps
Only 350 of 7,333 programs fully covered by new federal loan limits
$51.8B
annual funding gap
Aid-adjusted shortfall across all graduate students, annually
$20,750
median annual gap
Per-program gap between cost of attendance and the new cap
~
private market must grow
$11–13B in displaced lending vs. $14B total private market capacity

The Largest Change to Graduate Education Financing Since 2006

On July 4, 2025, President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law. Title VIII, Section 81001 eliminates the Grad PLUS loan program for all new borrowers effective July 1, 2026, replacing it with hard annual caps: $50,000 for students pursuing federally designated professional degrees, $20,500 for all other graduate programs.

This report quantifies what that change means using actual tuition and cost-of-attendance data scraped from the websites of 1,861 American universities for the 2025–2026 academic year. Three findings define the scale:

95.2% of degree programs exceed the new caps. Only 350 out of 7,333 program-institution combinations would be fully covered by federal loans alone.

The aggregate annual funding shortfall is approximately $51.8 billion after accounting for average grants and scholarships reported in federal survey data (NPSAS:20). At sticker price, the shortfall amounts to $59.9 billion.

The private lending market cannot close the gap. The entire U.S. private student loan market currently originates roughly $14 billion per year across all borrower types — comparable to the $15 billion in Grad PLUS lending being eliminated.

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40 pages · 8,100 words · 24 data tables · Complete methodology appendix

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PDF · ~200KB · Updated February 2026
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Suggested Citation

The Gap Funding Group. (2026). The 2026 graduate education funding crisis: A data report. The Gap Funding Group LLC. https://thefundinggap.org/report

Data Sources

Institutional websites (1,861 universities)IPEDS (NCES)NPSAS:20 (NCES)FSA COD System34 CFR § 668.2Public Law 119-21